Zimbabwe's vote

In The Guardian Knox Chitiyo runs down where we are in the Zimbabwe vote. Let's see. Peaceful vote. Steady announcement of legislative results. Powerful government ministers losing their seats. Opposition claiming victory. Government holding off on announcing final results. Opposition and bloggers worrying that the vote is being rigged. Sounds like we may still be on track for the "Kibaki scenario."

Of course, Zimbabwe and Kenya are two different countries with two very different histories. The response to a vote seen as rigged would have to work from a different script, in terms of among other things, the level of ethnic factionalism, internal security dynamics, receptiveness to Western input, regional willingness to get involved, and general economic conditions. For now, the waiting game.